Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Polymarket traders currently assign a 0.1% probability to "Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?". The market is currently pricing YES at 0.1¢ and NO at 99.0¢. Liquidity conviction is currently classified as low, with approximately $1,176 in 24-hour trading activity.
May 6, 2026
Polymarket traders currently assign a 0.1% probability to "Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?".
The market is currently pricing YES at 0.1¢ and NO at 99.0¢.
Liquidity conviction is currently classified as low, with approximately $1,176 in 24-hour trading activity.
Last Updated: 2026-05-06T21:29:10.812Z
Current Market Pricing
YES Price
0.1¢
Bullish probability pricing
NO Price
99.0¢
Bearish probability pricing
Prediction markets currently imply a live probability of approximately 0.1%.
Market Structure
Probability
0.1%
Spread
0.009
Liquidity
Low
Volume (24h)
$1,176
Markets with tighter spreads and higher liquidity generally indicate stronger trader participation and more efficient price discovery.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Market Interpretation
Prediction markets function as real-time consensus engines.
Traders continuously buy and sell outcome shares based on:
- breaking news
- macro developments
- public narratives
- institutional positioning
- probability reassessments
As a result, market pricing reflects aggregate trader expectations rather than static forecasts or polling systems.
At the current pricing structure:
- YES trades near 0.1¢
- NO trades near 99.0¢
- Implied probability sits near 0.1%
These probabilities may shift rapidly as new information enters the market.
Liquidity & Conviction Analysis
Low liquidity conviction suggests the market currently has low participation depth.
Higher liquidity environments typically produce:
- tighter spreads
- faster price discovery
- stronger informational efficiency
- lower pricing instability
Lower liquidity environments can produce sharper volatility swings and less reliable consensus pricing.
Why Prediction Markets Matter
Prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs into continuously updating probabilities.
Unlike static polling systems, these markets react in real time to:
- political developments
- macroeconomic events
- institutional sentiment
- narrative shifts
- market-moving news
- crowd positioning
This makes them useful as live probabilistic intelligence systems rather than simple betting platforms.
Market Metadata
- Market Slug:
will-henry-rank-1-among-boy-names-on-the-ssas-official-list-for-2025 - Last Updated: 2026-05-06T21:29:10.812Z
- Category: other
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